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Marco D'Angelo

Marco D'Angelo

(901) Cincinnati Reds at (902) Pittsburgh Pirates

Event:
(901) Cincinnati Reds at (902) Pittsburgh Pirates
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 18, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
76
Play:
4% – 1H Cincinnati Reds +76 N Lodolo (LHP), B Falter (LHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

4% (901) CINCINNATI 1st 5 Innings -130 RISK 4 UNITS to WIN 3.07 UNITS

Going to fade the Pirates for several reasons today. First off the Pirates won yesterday with their rookie sensation Paul Skenes. They actually pushed his start back a day to have him pitch at home instead of on the road. Pittsburgh struggles to get people in the stands unless he’s pitching and the Pirates drew just under 20,000 yesterday. Here’s a stat you won’t find elsewhere the Pirates are 0-4 this year the game following a game that Paul Skenes started and the Pirates Won. We also find that Reds starter Nick Lodolo has made 10 starts with 8 of the 10 being 3 runs or less. In Fact in 7 of those games he allowed 2 runs or less. The Pirates send Baily Falter to the mound who has allowed 8 runs in 8 innings of work over his last 2 starts. I’m going to take the Bullpens out of the equation by making this a 1st 5 inning wager.

KEY STAT: PITTSBURGH is 40-57 when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons

KEY STAT: CINCINNATI is 33-24 on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons


TAKE CINCINNATI 1st 5 Innings -130 RISK 4 UNITS to WIN 3.07 UNITS as my 4% MLB GRAND SLAM 

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