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The Prez

The Prez

(509) Dallas Mavericks at (510) Boston Celtics

Event:
(509) Dallas Mavericks at (510) Boston Celtics
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
June 17, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-110
Play:
3% – (509) Dallas Mavericks at (510) Boston Celtics Boston Celtics Total Under 108.5 (-110)
Result:
Win
Analysis

 NBA BEST BET

UNDER 108.5 BOSTON CELTICS TEAM TOTAL

The Dallas Mavericks are coming into this game having finally figured out how to put together a full 4 quarters against this Celtics team. Without Porzingas in the lineup, this is a different defensive and offensive team. We have not seen the Celtics go over this team total number yet in the series and I have no idea why the market thinks they'll go over it tonight, especially when Boston has all the pressure of trying to close out Dallas after they just got blasted. The job doesn't get easier simply because they are home.  Dallas has only given up more than 108.5 points a few times over the last 2 seasons in the playoffs. They clearly understand that all the pressure is on Boston tonight and not them. They played without fear in the last game because they had nothing to lose and they are going to show up and do it again tonight. Boston has wilted in past playoffs when it mattered the most. Closing out the wounded Heat, Cavs and Pacers is NOT the same thing as closing out Luka and company. I like the spot Dallas is in and they will once again come out and leave it all on the court with Zero pressure since everyone believes they've already lost. I'm not running to the window to back Boston laying this many points but I'm willing to Bet they don't score more points in this closeout game than they have the entire series. Celtics probably win but that's only if they hold Dallas to Under 100 points again. More defensive effort, less offense means Under 108.5 points for this Celtics team.

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