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(961) Boston Red Sox at (962) Toronto Blue Jays

Event:
(961) Boston Red Sox at (962) Toronto Blue Jays
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 17, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-113
Play:
2% – (961) Boston Red Sox at (962) Toronto Blue Jays Total Over 7.5 (-113) N Pivetta (RHP), Y Kikuchi (LHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

2% Take Boston - Toronto OVER (#961-962) (listed pitchers)

The Red Sox bats are heating up with the weather in June, pounding out eight runs or more four times in their last five games.  The Blue Jays scored a dozen runs in two games over the weekend, now 6-3 to the Over in their last nine at home.  And there’s ample reason to expect some crooked numbers on the scoreboard once again tonight in a matchup featuring a pair of suspect starting pitchers and a Blue Jays bullpen that has spent most of the season getting lit up; bottom five in bullpen ERA.

Yusei Kikuchi is not in particularly good current form.  He’s allowed five runs or more twice in his last four starts and he’s coming off a four walk game in his last outing, struggling with his command.  Kikuchi got bombed twice vs the Red Sox last year: ten earned runs and 16 hits allowed while failing to make it out of the fifth inning either time.  Nick Pivetta has a huge sample size against current Blue Jays -- more than 180 plate appearances against him -- and those Toronto hitters are batting .304 against him with a .934 OPS.  This sure doesn’t feel like a pitcher’s duel to this bettor!  Take the OVER.

Line Parameter: 2% at 8 or lower, 1.5% at 8.5 or higher

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