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Dave Cokin

Dave Cokin

(959) Los Angeles Dodgers at (960) Colorado Rockies

Event:
(959) Los Angeles Dodgers at (960) Colorado Rockies
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 17, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
135
Play:
3% – 1H Colorado Rockies +135 J Paxton (LHP), C Quantrill (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

Generally will not see me putting much money on the Rockies but I think tonight is a good spot to take that ganble at a decent plus price. The key here is James Paxton, the very clear weak link in the Dodgers rotation. Paxton is below average across the board. Not by any means is Cal Quantrill an ace, But he has better data that Paxton in the categories I put ample weight on and he's a good sized dog. No Mookie for the Dodgers is a big hit to their offense and the Rockies actually have a well above average 121 wRC+ vs. lefties over the last month. Both teams are in solid last seven days offensive mode, so we could see a good deal of scoring here. Bullpen edge is heavy on the Dodgers side. I think the bet here is to take the +135 or thereabouts with the Rockies for the F5 upset.

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