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Mark Zinno

Mark Zinno

(509) Dallas Mavericks at (510) Boston Celtics

Event:
(509) Dallas Mavericks at (510) Boston Celtics
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
June 17, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-110
Play:
3% – (509) Dallas Mavericks at (510) Boston Celtics Total Over 209.5 (-110)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

The Mavericks and Celtics move to Boston for Game 5. The total has continued to drop in every game of this series and we are now 8 full points below the Game 1 total of 217.5 with four consecutive games going under the total. There has been an extenuating circumstance in every game that has lead to the under hitting. There were two blowouts. The Celtics had their second-worst three-point shooting game of the season in Game 2. Boston also failed to score for 8 minutes in the fourth quarter in Game 4. I stand firm that we are going to get a game where those abnormalities normalize and these teams play to their true season numbers. I also don't believe that Dallas will be held under 100 points for the fourth time in five games. If the Mavericks get to 100, there's a very small window for this game not to go over. Boston should have a better shooting night at home than they did in Game 2 and if they are making their threes, it will be a spot where they should easily get to 110. I expect that we get our first over of the series. 

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