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Scott Rickenbach

Scott Rickenbach

(919) New York Yankees at (920) Boston Red Sox

Event:
(919) New York Yankees at (920) Boston Red Sox
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 16, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-113
Play:
4% – (919) New York Yankees at (920) Boston Red Sox Total Over 9.0 (-113) Action
Result:
Win
Analysis

4% Rotation #919: MLB Sunday 4% OVER 9 -113 in Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees @ 7:10 ET - When you look at the ERA of these two pitchers you may be surprised to see such a high total on this game (even 9.5 in some spots) as of early Sunday morning. However, this total is absolutely justified even with both teams also having solid bullpen numbers this season. The fact is that Marcus Stroman has recently struggled with command and his strikeout numbers are down. That sets him up to allow plenty of contact here against a Red Sox team very confident at the plate after yesterday's big win. When Stroman misses with the location of his pitches, Boston will make him pay. As for Red Sox starter Kutter Crawford, he is struggling much more than his low ERA would show you. Note that Crawford is 0-5 in his last 6 starts and he has allowed 20 runs (16 earned) in 22.1 innings spanning his last 4 home starts! Yes that works out to an average of 5 runs (4 earned) in his last 4 home starts even though he has averaged only about 5 innings per start in those outings. Boston is #5 and New York #2 out of all 30 teams for slugging percentage this season! The Yankees have scored an average of 6.3 runs per game last 16 games. The Red Sox have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 10 home games. 9 of those 10 games totaled at least 9 runs and I am expecting more of the same in this one! 4% OVER 9 -113 in Boston

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