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Jimmy Adams

Jimmy Adams

(965) Los Angeles Angels at (966) Houston Astros

Event:
(965) Los Angeles Angels at (966) Houston Astros
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
May 20, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-135
Play:
5% – 1H Houston Astros -0.5 (-135) R Detmers (LHP), F Valdez (LHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

We’ve seen the positive regression we knew was coming out of the Astros this past week as they’ve won 7 of their past 8 games after scoring 9 in a win over the Brewers Sunday. Houston will remain at home as they welcome the Angels to town for a 3-game set, and we have a prime fade candidate taking the mound in Reid Detmers. The Halos have lost the last 5 times that Detmers has taken the mound which isn’t surprising considering he hasn’t given up fewer than 4 earned in any of those games. He’s allowed 17 earned runs in his past 3 starts alone, has a high barrel rate, and ranks in just the 9th percentile in pitching run value. The Astros have the best batting average in all of baseball and Framber Valdez enters off his most successful start of the season. Valdez pitched 7 shutout innings with just 2 hits and 8 K’s last time out. He has now allowed 2 runs or fewer in 4 of his past 5 trips to the bump. Valdez has given up just 3 barrels on the season and is tremendous at producing ground balls. Expect Houston’s success to continue as they get to Detmers and lead after 5. Take the Astros F5 RL. 

5% Play on Astros F5 RUN LINE at -150 or better, 4% at worse than -150 

 

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