Recent Play Details

Czech Republic vs Moldova
EURO Qualifiers, Monday, 2:45pm ET

Play: Moldova +1.75

Odds at Time of Release: -120

Line Parameter: Playable to -125

Huge match here as Moldova (10p) only want a win against the Czech Republic (12p) in order to steal that 2nd spot, while the Czechs can qualify with a draw or a win. The total at 2.75 seems way too high, as the Czechs have no reason to open up and Moldova will try to play smart and steal the result. 

Moldova are 6-1 to the Under 2.5 Goals and the reverse fixture was a goal-less draw. Expect a cagey type of cat-and-mouse match with very few goals. The Spread at 1.75 also seems way too high, as Moldova can stay well within that. 

It's the Czech Republic that will be burdened in this match, being the better side and playing on home ground, they already think they've qualified. There's distractions in their camp, with 3 of their (mostly) starters partying till early in the morning while breaching team rules and being expelled from the mission. 

Moldova have nothing to lose at this point. Noone, not even they themselves, believed that they would be here, in the final match day and vying for a spot in the Euros. They have nothing to lose and everything to gain, and we often see underdogs like this bite, and bite hard. 

We already took 0.5u on Moldova Tie no Bet, but now we will also take 1u on Moldova +1.75 (-120), which is a split line between Moldova +1.5 and Moldova +2. This wins if Moldova wins or if it's a draw, and even if Moldova lose by 1 goal, and is just a half loss if they lose by 2 goals. A great safety for a match like this.