Recent Play Details

4% New Orleans (8:10 ET): Sacramento went from a team that I was looking to fade to a play on once De’Aaron Fox returned. I grabbed them last Wednesday against the Lakers (as small underdogs), a game where they ran out to a huge lead and won 125-110. The Kings’ win streak has now hit six in a row following last night’s 129-113 result in Dallas where both Fox and Domantas Sabonis went for 30+. The team scored 30+ in each of the first three quarters and shot 53% for the game including 43% from three. That performance came at the expense of a Mavs team that has given up 125+ points in three of its last four games and was in the second night of a back to back. 

Now it’s Sacramento in the second game of a back to back. Give them credit for starting this season-long, six-game road trip a perfect 3-0, but I think it’s now time to step in and fade. The scoring has been off the charts the L4 games, but I just don’t think we’re going to see the same kind of shooting tonight that we saw in Dallas. Keep in mind that despite an 8-4 SU record, the Kings are outscoring opponents by just 2.4 points per game for the season. This is also their third road game in four nights. Three of their four losses this season have been on the road. 

Sacramento has covered five straight but New Orleans is also 3-0 ATS its last three games and probably should have won all three outright. Despite no Zion Williamson on Saturday, the Pelicans led Minnesota most of the way (by as many as 15) and still hung 120 on the #1 team in the league in defensive efficiency. They lost on a Karl-Anthony Towns last second shot. CJ McCollum and Trey Murphy III have yet to play this season, yet the Pelicans are a respectable 6-7 SU. Williamson will play tonight as he sat Saturday only because it was the second night of a back to back. 4% New Orleans (Play to -1)