Czech Republic vs Moldova
EURO Qualifiers, Monday, 2:45pm ET
Play: Under 2.75 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: +1100
Line Parameter: Playable to +800
Huge match here as Moldova (10p) only want a win against the Czech Republic (12p) in order to steal that 2nd spot, while the Czechs can qualify with a draw or a win. The total at 2.75 seems way too high, as the Czechs have no reason to open up and Moldova will try to play smart and steal the result.
Moldova are 6-1 to the Under 2.5 Goals and the reverse fixture was a goal-less draw. Expect a cagey type of cat-and-mouse match with very few goals. The Spread at 1.75 also seems way too high, as Moldova can stay well within that.
Take the Under 2.75 Goals (-105) which is a split line between Under 2.5 Goals and Under 3 Goals. I think we see very few goals on this one as both teams will try to feel each other out for a big part of this cagey affair.