Recent Play Details

Czech Republic vs Moldova
EURO Qualifiers, Monday, 2:45pm ET

Play: Moldova Tie no Bet

Odds at Time of Release: +1100

Line Parameter: Playable to +800

Huge match here as Moldova (10p) only want a win against the Czech Republic (12p) in order to steal that 2nd spot, while the Czechs can qualify with a draw or a win. The total at 2.75 seems way too high, as the Czechs have no reason to open up and Moldova will try to play smart and steal the result. 

Moldova are 6-1 to the Under 2.5 Goals and the reverse fixture was a goal-less draw. Expect a cagey type of cat-and-mouse match with very few goals. The Spread at 1.75 also seems way too high, as Moldova can stay well within that. 

I think worst case scenario Moldova get a goal here, whether it is the winning or a consolation goal, Moldova have surely earned our respect in these qualifiers, while the Czech camp hasn’t been completely focused (3 players were caught partying after-hours and were expelled). 

Much like the Slovenia/Kazakhstan match, I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw one of these underdogs in the EURO in the summer.

Take Moldova Tie no Bet (+1100 at FanDuel). FD has made a mistake in the odds, giving us Moldova ML at +1300 and Moldova Tie no Bet at similar price (+1100) with the added protection of a push if it's a Draw. There is absolutely a lot of value to be extracted. Draftkings has +800 which is playable but shop around to get better odds on that. 

We are not going to get rich off this bet, but risking 0.5u to win 5u is just too good of an opportunity to pass on.