3% Noah Gray (KC) Longest Reception OVER 9.5 (-120) —
While Noah Gray may not be the TE that comes to mind when you are thinking about the Kansas City Chiefs, he does have A LOT of value with this prop bet in my opinion on Monday vs. Philadelphia.
From a broad look, Philadelphia’s passing defense has struggled on more than one occasion this season. In the L3W they have allowed nearly 310 YPG through the air. 2 weeks ago they allowed Washington to throw for 388 yards, followed by 333 yards through the air by the Cowboys in their last game. Not to mention, they have one of the best rush defenses and opponents have been prone to throw, especially with a QB of Mahomes caliber.
Philadelphia has allowed over 78% completion percentage to TE’s this year, allowing 43 receptions (on 55 targets) for 438 yards, an average of OVER 10 yards/reception.
In the last 2 games for the Chiefs, 6 players have been targeted 6+ times, but only Skyy Moore has been as sure-handed as Noah Gray. Gray has hauled in 5 out of his 6 targets, and has averaged 11.8 yards/reception.
Both Noah Gray, and Philadelphia’s defense have allowed (on average) more yards than this total PER RECEPTION on the season. Noah Gray leads the team in yards/reception out of all the receivers that average at least 2 catches per game. Noah Gray is one of the few receivers that have averaged at least 2 catches/game on the season, and on average EVERY one of those is over this longest reception prop.