Israel might be the hosts on paper, but this match is actually played on neutral ground in Poland. This is also the 3rd match in just 6 days for Israel, with many of their players already being out of game shape due to the situation in Israel. Yes, they need the win to stay alive but Romania are looking for one point to mathematically qualify themselves. So, Israel only need a win, Romania need a win or a Draw.
Meanwhile, Romania have the best defense in this group with just 4 conceded goals (in 8 matches), which is also the 4th best defense out of all the teams in the entire Qualifiers, and have kept 3 clean sheets in a row.
Israel generated a combined 1 xG in their two previous matches and will surely have a really tough time against one of the best defenses in this phase. Romania will block all paths, keeping a clean sheet means qualification to the 2024 EURO. This is probably not going to be a very entertaining match, and Israel will open up at some point, so take Romania PK on this one with the Draw resulting in a push.
Play: Romania PK
Odds at Time of Release: -115
Line Parameter: Playable to -130, no play if odds lower than -130