Recent Play Details

In the upcoming game between the Dallas Mavericks and the Milwaukee Bucks, the focus is on the Mavericks' offensive potential, particularly in surpassing their team total of 121.5 points. Currently, the Mavericks are 9-3 and wrapping up a four-game road trip. They're also preparing for back-to-back games, with a significant matchup against the Kings following this one. The Bucks, at 8-4, are on a winning streak but are entering this game on the second leg of back-to-back games, which may impact their performance, especially considering their extensive recent travel. They've had to travel for the last nine straight games.

The Mavericks have consistently surpassed their team total this season, achieving over 124 points in seven out of twelve games. They have a strong record in high-total games, averaging 128.3 points in games with a total set over 230. The Bucks' defense has improved, but their recent opponents have been lower in offensive rankings, which might not fully test their defensive capabilities. With the Bucks potentially fatigued and key players like Crowder and Beauchamp out, the Mavericks, especially with a rested Kyrie Irving, are well-positioned to score heavily.

My model has the Mavericks going over their team total and scoring at least 124 points in this game. With the Bucks on the 2nd leg of back to backs, taking the Mavericks team total allows us to focus on what I think the Mavericks can do and avoid whatever might happen with Bucks player status' prior to the game.