Recent Play Details

1.5% #409/410 Florida Gators & Missouri Tigers OVER 57.5 — 

From a trends and angles perspective, Florida is the driving force in the OVER here. Florida is 7-3 OU on the season, including 4-1 OU on the road and 6-1 OU in conference games. It really has been a combination of reasons behind those numbers though, on the road the defense has struggled for the Gators, allowing over 38 OPPG on the season. When it comes to conference play, their offense has stepped up and definitely been a factor, putting up over 30 PPG, slightly higher than their season average, but their defense has also allowed nearly 34 OPPG, which doesn’t hurt the over obviously.

For Mizzou, injuries play a big role here … the Tigers will be without their leading tackler, Sr. LB, Ty’Ron Harper, which is a huge loss for the defense. On the flip side, Cook (QB), Schrader (RB) and Burden III (WR) are all listed as probable after finding themselves on the injury report.

I really like Cody Schrader’s potential in this game today. Schrader has very quickly gone from a D-II superstar to the ONLY RB in the SEC that is averaging 100+ YPG on the ground and 1 of just 9 in the nation with 110+ YPG rushing. Florida’s defense has allowed 555 rushing yards in the L2W, allowing Arkansas and LSU to put up 225+ in each of the last 2 games, but they have allowed 450+ yards in each of the last FOUR (4) games. As well as allowing 39+ points in each of those 4 games as well. 

This is essentially a must win for Florida if they want to make a bowl, as they currently sit at 5-5, but they have a tough game against Florida State on deck. With Missouri missing some defensive keys, I do think Florida is able to contribute offensively, and the Tigers defense takes a small step back. Although, I do not see Missouri’s offense slowing down in this game.