This is the week where these massive underdogs tend to do well. Similar to Oregon we have Michigan in a big time “sandwich” spot having to play on the road at Maryland the week after their big win over Penn State and the week before their MASSIVE showdown with Ohio State.
In this case we are also getting a capable Maryland team that's already won 6 games and finally snapped a four game losing streak with a win over Nebraska last week.
As Michigan continues to lose coaches it makes that much more sense for the Wolverines to keep the game plan simple here and run the ball. Michigan ran it for 227 yards against a very good Penn State defense last week so no reason to expect anything different here.
Maryland is capable defensively, they won't shut down the Michigan rushing attack but the Terps defensive front is good enough to hang in. In a game where Michigan will likely try to control field position and time of possession Maryland should be able to limit scoring if they can avoid the home run play and get off the field on 3rd down.
Another thing going for Maryland here is their ability to throw the ball. If Maryland does get into a situation where they are down 2-3 scores it likely becomes easier to throw it on the Michigan defense. Maryland is more than capable of a big pass play or two and of the Terps can hit at least one for a touchdown it will make it that much more difficult for Michigan to win by margin.
Bad spot for Michigan on the road with Ohio State looming next week. Good spot for Maryland at home to hang around as a big underdog. This one should land in our favor.
Play on Maryland +19.5 (-110) for 4% (or 4 units)