Recent Play Details

3:30 PM ET -- College Football

383 UCLA
384 USC

Play 383 UCLA +5.5 -110

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at +4.5 or better
2% play at +3.5 or +4

This is all about defense for me and I love getting points with by far the better defense.  USC's D is allowing 158 more total yards per game than UCLA's stop unit.  The Trojans D is allowing 6.4 yards per play (ypp) against offenses that are averaging just 6 ypp.  The Bruins D is allowing 4.4 ypp against offenses that are averaging 5.5 ypp.

USC's strength is its passing attack, but the UCLA defense is allowing under 6.4 yards per pass attempt.  USC faced three other defenses this season that are averaging less than 6.4 yards allowed per pass attempt.  They lost all three games. After a 6-0 start to the season (thanks to a cupcake schedule that saw them favored by 3 TDs or more in each game), USC is 1-4 since with the only win coming by one point as a 10-point road favorite at Cal.  The Trojans have lost five straight ATS as chalk and they're 0-4 ATS this season as a favorite of 4 TDs or less.

This is also a great "buy low" spot on UCLA.  The Bruins are coming off back-to-back losses as a favorite, the last of which was a most embarrassing 10-point home loss as a 2-TD favorite against Arizona State.

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