Recent Play Details

Dating back to 1999, more rested road dogs on a 5+ game win streak that also have a higher win percentage than their opponent are 0-11 SU /0-10-1 ATS ( losing by 11.55 ppg) when their opponent has more than 1 days rest.

Why would a team in that situation be a road dog? I have another system that looks at margins compared to the line and it is a 58% play on the Clippers.  There are a couple of reasons in my opinion why the line is where it is.  First, The impressive win streak for the rockets was all at home.  Now they go on the road after 4 days off and the argument can be had that 4+ days is enough for a team to get rusty.  On top of that the rockets are 0-2 so far on the road.  Tonight HOU faces a clippers team that feels embarrassed and has taken some time to get chemistry with the new unit.  What changes tonight for the Clippers?  They’ve had 2 days off to figure out a solution to their issues.  We now see Russell Westbrook has asked to come off the bench and Terrance Mann will start. That move makes a lot of sense as Russ and Harden are both ball dominant and I see it translating to both better performance from the starters and the bench.  This is also a chance for both Harden and Westbrook to stick it to their former team.  Clippers win this one by double digits