UCLA +6.5 USC
I make USC only -2.5 and this is the definition of a defensive dog.
Yes it looks like UCLA will fire Chip Kelly but there is no loss of focus vs USC. UCLA went to Garbers vs Stanford and the Bruins gained 503 yards and then gained 498 vs Colorado the next game. Garbers got hurt at Arizona and both he and Moore were out last week as Ucla lost to Arizona St and he was back at practice this week. The Bruins even with those two horrific games are #14 in the country at +1.65 yards per play while USC is #28. UCLA is #10 this season holding their foes to 91 YPG under their average.
USC is not only 1-7 ATS their L8 games and 0-7 ATS when excluding the game as a 16.5 pt dog they have failed to cover those games by 15.5 PPG. The USC D is #115 allowing 49 YPG more that their foes average and in P-12 action they are allowing a mind-blowingthan 204 YPG and 5.1 YPC rushing.
UCLA is #5 in conference action with 3.57 sacks per game vs a USC OL that has allowed 23 sacks in their L6 games with at least 3 sacks allowed in all 6 games.