After a long flight, touring around a city, and a bigger ice surface, what could go wrong for these two teams in this afternoon (eastern time) start in the NHL global series game today in Sweden? Despite both clubs being involved in higher-scoring games this season, analytics suggest that those numbers should come crashing down and that both teams are overachieving offensively. The Wings rank 25th in expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60) at 5-on-5. Ottawa ranks 29th in xGF/60 at 5-on-5. The Wings and Senators have not been creating dangerous chances, and their power plays have not done well. They've just made good of their opportunities, but I think that ends, and I love that I'm getting +115 on an under 6.5 total. I have faith in both Korpisalo & Reimer to hold things down today, especially knowing that five or fewer goals have been scored in four of Reimer's five starts.
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