Event: (327) Michigan State at (328) Indiana Sport/League: CFB Date/Time: November 18, 2023 12PM EST Play Rating: 4% Odds: -110 Play: 4% – Michigan State +4.0 (-110) Result: Win
We're taking Michigan State to cover on the road on Saturday against Indiana.
Rapid Breakdown
Two teams with just six wins between them meet on Saturday over in Bloomington as 0-4 Michigan State on the road takes on 3-2 Indiana at home this weekend.
Despite those initially poor road numbers for the Spartans, we expect them to be competitive in this game as their numbers away from home this season have actually been significantly better defensively (-0.4 YPP, -0.9 YPPA, -0.1 YPRA, etc). Indiana meanwhile has actually been a lot worse offensively at home this year, generating a full 1.1 YPP less per game than they have done on the road.
Spartans RB Nathan Carter, who ranks 4th in the Big Ten this year in yards after contact and 5th in yards per game, should be able to do some damage here against a Hoosiers run defense that ranks joint-117th in the nation on opponent yards per rush attempt at home this year.
Take Michigan State to cover on the road on Saturday against Indiana in the Big Ten.