Recent Play Details

Montenegro vs Lithuania
EURO Qualifiers, Thursday, 2:45pm ET

Montenegro are sitting 3rd in this group with just 8 points (but with a match in hand) and if they beat lowly Lithuania they will have 11 points and will be just 2 points behind Serbia and 3 points behind Hungary ahead of the final match day in these qualifiers. 

Lithuania with nothing to play for but they have actually been quite dangerous as of late, losing just 1 of L4 matches (W1 D2 L1), scoring in all 4 and scoring 2+ goals in 3 of 4. However, 3 of those 4 matches came at home, and Lithuania struggle a lot on the road beating just Bulgaria and San Marino in the last 3 years (W2 D1 L14). 

Montenegro do have some slight chances to make the top-2 but they need to win this one and a combination of other results, so it kind of feels like a long shot. That doesn't mean that they will not fight for it. There is also the revenge game narrative here, as Montenegro conceded a late goal in the stoppage time of the reverse fixture in Lithuania which resulted in a 2-2 draw and they dropped 2 points there, which really hurt their qualifying chances. 

Expect Montenegro to go all in here, but I wouldn't be surprised if Lithuania gave them some trouble. I think Montenegro might need score twice to win this, but anything other than a win here would be catastrophic for the Balkans.

Take Montenegro ML (-290) as the first leg of our parlay. 
 

Kazakhstan vs San Marino
EUR Qualifiers, Friday, 10am ET

San Marino are one of the weakest teams in these qualifiers, usually finishing bottom of their group and right now they are dead last with 8 losses in 8 matches, scoring just 1 goal and conceding 26. A really bad team, especially on the road, where they have the loss is their second nature. 

In these qualifiers they've been equally weak as previous years, and they were losing by 2 goals or more in 3 of 4 away first halves. Were losing 2-0 against Northern Ireland, 3-0 against Denmark and 2-0 against Finland. 

Kazakhstan are actually fighting for a top-2 spot, as both Slovenia and Denmark are sitting at 19 points, Kazakhstan have 15 and Finland have 12, with 2 more matches to go. Kazakhstan need a win here in order to move to 18 points, especially with Slovenia and Denmark clashing against one another in the other match of the group. And then Kazakhstan will be hosted by Slovenia in the final match of this stage, so they want to keep their qualification hopes alive. 

The spread is out of this world (set at 3 goals) and i don't want to lay such a big number. However, we will take a first half bet as we expect Kazakhstan to get the job done from the first half against such a lowly opponent.

Take 1H Kazakhstan -1 (-195) as the second leg of our parlay

Parlay the two together and we get +103 at Draftkings

Play: PARLAY - Montenegro ML & 1H Kazakhstan -1

Odds at Time of Release: +103

Line Parameter: Playable to -110