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3% Josh Allen (BUF) Interceptions Thrown OVER 0.5 (-135) — 

The two biggest factors coming into play BOTH involve 5 consecutive games … 

1. Josh Allen - 5 straight games w/ an INT
2. Denver DEF - 5 straight games w/ an INT 

Josh Allen and Buffalo have been struggling this season record-wise in comparison to years passed. They actually rank 24th in the NFL in INT%, despite having one of the better QBs in the league. Although top-tier QB’s aren’t safe from Denver’s defense either … I mean, Mahomes threw 3 INTs in 2 games (over the L3W) against this Denver defense. 

Buffalo has been a better passing team than they have rushing this season, as anticipated, but in turn they have also thrown the ball more than a majority of teams in the league. The only two teams in the AFC that have thrown the ball more on average (per game) is Cincinnati and Kansas City, and we saw how that turned out for the Chiefs. More pass attempts means more opportunities for the defense to pick the ball off.