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Lucas Alexander -310 v Jeka Saragih +230

There aren’t many fighters I could be lower on than Saragih.  His last fight was against Jubli, and he was an embarrassment.  He came out making faces at Jubli, putting his hands behind his back, and just acting very unprofessional.  Then he got taken down and beaten up for the rest of the fight until he was finished in the 2nd round.  Saragih hasn’t faced the best competition on his road to the UFC and it looked like when he had a step up in competition, he was out of his league.  He has a lot of finishes on his resume, but none of them against fighters who are UFC caliber.  I see no upside on him, and if he performs like that in this one he’ll get finished again.  Lucas Alexander got finished in his UFC debut by Brito (no shame in that), but responded by beating Steven Peterson by decision in his next fight.  Alexander displayed good leg kicks and plenty of volume on the feet, and while he didn’t get the finish he did do plenty of damage to Stevenson.  Alexander should beat Saragih in this one, he’s a fine parlay piece.

Amanda Ribas -298 v Luana Pinheiro +230

I have a feeling Pinheiro gets humbled in this matchup as it’s quite the step up in competition, and I just don’t see the ability of Pinheiro to compete against the best.  She’s 11-1, but her UFC wins are a win from an illegal up kick against Randa Markos, a decision against Sam Hughes who was 5-3 at the time, and a close split decision win against The Karate Hottie (Michelle Waterson-Gomez) who has now lost 6 out of 7.  Amanda Ribas is fighting the best in this division, and he recent losses are to Katlyn Chookagian and Maycee Barber, and the Barber fight was one of the most amazing women’s fights, an absolute bloody war in the octagon.  Pinheiro doesn’t have the power to scare Ribas, and her stance and offense isn’t crisp.  Ribas’s striking will land early and often and be way too much for Pinheiro.  Ribas ML is a nice parlay piece.