Brommapojkarna vs Hacken
Sweden, Sunday, 11am ET
Final Match Day in the Swedish league and we have a team that is fighting to avoid relegation, as Brommapojkarna are sitting at the 14th spot that leads to the relegation playoffs, but they are just 1 point behind Goteborg, so if they win and Goteborg don't, Bormmapojkarna will overtake them in the standings and will avoid relegation.
Hacken might be sitting 3rd in the standings but they are indifferent in this match, as they cannot move up or down. And there is somewhat of a conspiracy theory that says that Hacken will intentionally lose this match in order to see their hateful rivals Goteborg get relegated.
We surely can't base an official play on that conspiracy theory alone, but we were just informed of that on Sunday. We had already decided to take Brommapojkarna here, as we usually do when there is a team that's fighting relegation against an indifferent team.
A draw doesn't do the hosts any good, as they have inferior goal difference that Goteborg above them. They only need a win. And with Hacken being mathematically indifferent, we are taking the home side to save themselves on Sunday. Take Brommapojkarna -0.25 here, which is a split line between PK and -0.5 and is just a half loss in the event of a Draw (that is catastrophic for the home side but we can't rule it out).
Play: Brommapojkarna -0.25
Odds at Time of Release: -110
Line Parameter: Playable to -120, no play if odds lower than -120