Recent Play Details

4% Seattle -1.5 (9:40 ET): First off, please note that this is a run line selection where I am playing the Mariners -1.5. We’re guaranteed to get nine at-bats from the road team, who desperately need a turnaround after dropping seven of nine including all three games at home over the weekend (against the Dodgers). Fortunately, it’s now a MAJOR drop in class as the M’s are 9-1 head to head vs. the A’s this season including a three-game sweep here in their lone previous visit to Oakland, back in May. Seattle has outscored Oakland 50-20 in those 10 meetings and going back to the start of 2021, has taken 35 of the previous 48 meetings. This one should quickly turn into a blowout. 

The Mariners’ losing skid has them now on the “outside looking in” when it comes to the American League playoff picture as they are 1 game back of division rival Texas and 1.5 games back of Toronto in the race for the final two Wild Card spots. So there should be no “letting their guard down” tonight against an Oakland club that has been historically bad in 2023, getting outscored by 316 runs over the course of the season. In the last four games, all losses, the A’s have been outscored 29-9. They were swept by San Diego here at home over the weekend. The bullpen got rocked on Sunday, giving up 10 runs in six innings. 

Seattle’s bullpen is in relatively decent shape heading into this series and we should get a quality start here from righty Bryan Woo, who threw six shutout innings of three-hit ball against Oakland back on August 28th. Working on extended rest, Woo didn’t allow any runs his last time out either and he’s had five days off coming into tonight. The A’s are actually 3-0 in the L3 starts made by JP Sears, who is on the mound tonight. But Spears is already way past a career-high in IP this season and has struck out only NINE of the last 70 batters he’s faced. The Mariners are fifth in wOBA vs. lefties in the second half of the season (.359) and have a 134 wRC+. They are the clear play tonight. 4% Seattle -1.5 (Play to -130)