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7:15 PM ET -- NFL
289 New Orleans Saints
290 Carolina Panthers
Play: UNDER 39.5 -110
Bet Size: 3%
Line Parameters:
3% play at 39 or better
2% play at 38.5
The Panthers managed 10 points in Atlanta last Sunday. Bryce Young looked every bit like a rookie QB making his first NFL start. Sure, he'll be at home this time instead of in a loud road dome. But playing in his first-ever Monday Night Football game (and in front of a hopeful home crowd) brings another level of pressure. And the Saints defense, in my opinion, is better than Atlanta's D.
The Saints held the Titans to five field goals in its 16-15 home win over the Titans last Sunday. If they can hold veteran QB Ryan Tannehill, RB Derrick Henry & company out of the end zone, then I have to expect Young & his crew to find it difficult to cross the goal line as well.
Derek Carr threw for over 300 yards in his Saints debut, but they still managed just 1 TD while going 1-for-4 in the red zone. Carolina's defense sacked Desmond Ridder four times and registered six tackles for loss last Sunday, and they should be pumped to play in front of the home crowd on a Monday night.
Note that since 10/25/2021, the UNDER is 12-0-1 on Monday night when the home team is the underdog. These games have gone under by an average of 10.7 points per game.
The UNDER is also 6-0 since 2017 when NFC South rivals clash in Weeks 2-10 when the home team is the underdog and the total is set at 48 or less. These games have gone under by an average of 8.6 points per game.
Lastly, the last five meetings between these NFC South rivals have all gone UNDER, and by an average of 11.4 points per game.
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