Event: (959) Cleveland Guardians at (960) Kansas City Royals Sport/League: MLB Date/Time: September 18, 2023 2PM EDT Play: 3% – 1H Kansas City Royals +100 C Quantrill (RHP), B Singer (RHP) Must Start Play Rating: 3% Result: Loss
Starting Pitchers
Cal Quantrill (CLE):
Basic Stats: 3-6, 16 GS, 85 IP
Key Metrics: ERA 5.4, K/9 5.08, BB/9 3.18, HR/9 0.95
Advanced Metrics: FIP 5.75, xFIP 5.52, WHIP 1.45, SIERA 5.58
Strengths:
Decent home run suppression, evidenced by a HR/9 of 0.95.
Weaknesses:
Low strikeout rate (K/9 of 5.08) indicates lack of dominance.
Elevated ERA and WHIP suggest challenges in keeping runners off base.
Brady Singer (KCR):
Basic Stats: 8-11, 28 GS, 153.2 IP
Key Metrics: ERA 5.51, K/9 7.56, BB/9 2.75, HR/9 1.11
Advanced Metrics: FIP 4.94, xFIP 4.28, WHIP 1.44, SIERA 4.45
Strengths:
Better control than Quantrill, with a BB/9 of 2.75.
More dominant with a K/9 of 7.56.
Weaknesses:
Despite the better control, Singer has a similar ERA to Quantrill, suggesting other in-game challenges.
Team Batting
Cleveland:
Basic Stats: 114 HR, 132 SB, 4.07 Runs/G
Advanced Metrics: ISO 0.131, wRC+ 91, wOBA 0.3
Statcast Data: Barrel% 5.00%, HardHit% 32.70%
Strengths:
Excellent base running, highlighted by 132 stolen bases.
Weaknesses:
Offensive production slightly below average with a wRC+ of 91.
Kansas City Royals:
Basic Stats: 148 HR, 147 SB, 4.09 Runs/G
Advanced Metrics: ISO 0.153, wRC+ 85, wOBA 0.301
Statcast Data: Barrel% 8.10%, HardHit% 41.00%
Strengths:
Similar to Cleveland, the Royals excel in base running with 147 stolen bases.
Slightly better power, with 148 HRs and a higher ISO.
Weaknesses:
Offensive production is below average, denoted by a wRC+ of 85.
Bullpen
Cleveland:
Basic Stats: 34W-32L, 43 Saves, 3.78 ERA
Key Metrics: K/9 8.94, BB/9 3.54, HR/9 1.09
Strengths:
Solid bullpen ERA of 3.78.
Weaknesses:
Control could be better, evident by a BB/9 of 3.54.
Kansas City Royals:
Basic Stats: 20W-36L, 21 Saves, 5.2 ERA
Key Metrics: K/9 9.22, BB/9 4.35, HR/9 1.2
Strengths:
Good strikeout capability with a K/9 of 9.22.
Weaknesses:
Bullpen struggles are apparent with an ERA of 5.2 and a high BB/9 of 4.35.
Summary and Projections
Starting Pitching: Both starters have had their challenges this season. Brady Singer, with better control and strikeout ability, seems to have a slight edge over Cal Quantrill.
Offense: Both teams have similar offensive capabilities. The Royals have a slight edge in power, but Cleveland's batting is closely matched.
Bullpen: Cleveland's bullpen is more reliable, which could be crucial in the later innings.
Projected Score: CLE 4 vs. KCR 5
Taking the 1H ML to avoid the Royals bullpen issues.