The Buffalo Bills lost to the Jets last week, but we are not overly concerned about their performance. Josh Allen turned the ball over four times, but when you look at his career numbers, he always plays poorly against the Jets. Now, the media is somewhat down on him and is asking if he is still good. We are willing to bet that he is. The Raiders stifled the Broncos last week, but that's another situation of one team (LV) constantly dominating another in recent memory (DEN). Now, the Raiders needed to travel across the country to play their Bills in Buffalo's home opener. Vegas may be Denver's kryptonite, but they are not a good football team. Despite losing on Monday, the Bills still looked good, so asking them to win against an overrated Raiders team does not seem like too much to ask for.
Last week, Kyle Shanahan put on an offensive clinic, and the 49ers put the NFL on notice. The 49ers put up 391 total yards, forced two turnovers, sacked Pickett five times, dominated time of possession, and downright kicked Pittsburgh’s ass. While this was somewhat shocking, the ass-whipping the Rams gave the Seahawks was arguably more impressive since it was unexpected. Los Angeles outgained Seattle 426 to 180 and won the 2nd half 23-0. Can they bring this momentum into a matchup against their division rival? Doubtful. The Rams always play the Seahawks closely, and since they see each other so often, Sean McVay deeply understands Pete Caroll’s defense and knows how to attack it. Newsflash, this 49ers defense is not Seattle’s defense. The Rams' offensive line held up well and allowed no sacks, and they also ran the ball 40 times to alleviate some pressure from Stafford. The 49ers bring arguably the best defensive line in football to the table, and they should stop the run and pressure Stafford far more than he was pressured last week. Also, considering McVay had all offseason to prepare for Seattle, he was able to put together a game plan for this weaker defense. Even after their win, our power ratings are still low on Los Angeles, and seven points is too short for this matchup. If Kyrin Williams and Cam Akers have high rushing yardage player props since they played well yesterday, we would fade those as well. The 49ers are a much better team than Seattle, and they can attack Los Angeles’ offense far more aggressively.
Both of these two big favorites should be able to win outright and cover the modest number that is below the key number of three.