Genoa vs Napoli
Serie A, Saturday, 2:45pm ET
Napoli's defense has not been good so far in the season, keeping just 1 clean sheet in 3 matches and that was a match where Sassuolo saw an early red card. They now play at Genoa, just a few days prior to Napoli's Champions League opener at home against Braga.
Genoa might not be the most flashy team out there, but they've been quite competitive at home and they can take advantage of Napoli's shaky defense, and the fact that Napoli have an upcoming Champions League match.
Each of L5 matches between the two sides in this venue had Both Teams to Score, with Napoli winning 4 and losing 1. We do expect them to win, but the prices on the ML (-170) are way too low for us to get involved, and we don't like the spread either.
What we do like though, is Napoli to win & Both Teams to Score which can be found at +276 at Pinnacle (which is a much better price that FanDuel and Draftkings). This match looks a LOT like a Napoli win by 2-1 (which can be found at +805 at Pinnacle / +700 FanDuel / +600 Draftkings)
Play: Napoli win & Both Teams to Score
Odds at Time of Release: +276
Line Parameter: Playable to +220
Correct Score Prediction: Napoli win by 2-1 (+805)