Recent Play Details

4% (964) TORONTO -121

*Note Line Good to -134

Boston looks like a team that can’t wait for the season to end. They have lost 8 of their L10 Games. In 5 of those games they scored 2 runs or less. Chris Sale goes for Boston with his 4.88 ERA in 17 starts. Chris Bassitt goes for Toronto and after throwing back to back gems he allowed 5 runs in his last start. I’m going to excuse that loss as it was against Texas who was in the middle of a Winning Streak and it was the start after Bassitt allowed just 1 run against his former team Oakland in Oakland. In those 2 starts prior to the Texas game he allowed just 1 run over 16 innings of work. We also find the following:

KEY STAT: Play On Home teams (TORONTO) who are allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less. Over the L5 years this angle is 176-93.

KEY STAT: BOSTON is 3-11 against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season

KEY STAT: BOSTON is 16-30 against the money line after scoring 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons

KEY STAT: BOSTON is 3-18 against the money line in road games after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 3 seasons

TAKE TORONTO as my 4% AL GAME OF THE WEEK