Event: (963) Boston Red Sox at (964) Toronto Blue Jays Sport/League: MLB Date/Time: September 16, 2023 3PM EDT Play: 3% – Boston Red Sox +112 C Sale (LHP), C Bassitt (RHP) Must Start Play Rating: 3% Result: Loss
Starting Pitchers
Chris Sale (BOS):
Basic Stats: 6-4, 17 GS, 86.2 IP
Key Metrics: ERA 4.88, K/9 11.01, BB/9 2.6, HR/9 1.35
Advanced Metrics: FIP 3.9, xFIP 3.79, WHIP 1.2, SIERA 3.56
Strengths:
Dominant strikeout ability with a K/9 of 11.01.
Good control, reflected in a BB/9 of 2.6.
Weaknesses:
ERA is a bit inflated at 4.88, indicating some struggles in run prevention.
Slightly vulnerable to home runs with a HR/9 of 1.35.
Chris Bassitt (TOR):
Basic Stats: 14-8, 30 GS, 178.2 IP
Key Metrics: ERA 3.83, K/9 8.11, BB/9 2.77, HR/9 1.31
Advanced Metrics: FIP 4.47, xFIP 4.39, WHIP 1.21, SIERA 4.4
Strengths:
Consistent performance with a solid ERA of 3.83 over a good number of innings pitched.
Weaknesses:
Slightly less striking capability when compared to Sale, with a K/9 of 8.11.
Has shown some susceptibility to the long ball, as indicated by a HR/9 of 1.31.
Team Batting
Boston Red Sox:
Basic Stats: 174 HR, 98 SB, 4.97 Runs/G
Advanced Metrics: ISO 0.173, wRC+ 103, wOBA 0.33
Statcast Data: Barrel% 7.60%, HardHit% 40.10%
Strengths:
Efficient offensive production with a wRC+ of 103.
Above-average power as seen with 174 home runs.
Weaknesses:
None based on the provided metrics.
Toronto Blue Jays:
Basic Stats: 169 HR, 92 SB, 4.55 Runs/G
Advanced Metrics: ISO 0.159, wRC+ 107, wOBA 0.325
Statcast Data: Barrel% 8.20%, HardHit% 38.70%
Strengths:
Even though they have fewer home runs than the Red Sox, the Blue Jays have a slightly better overall offensive production with a wRC+ of 107.
Weaknesses:
Marginal difference in power hitting compared to the Red Sox.
Bullpen
Boston Red Sox:
Basic Stats: 28W-23L, 40 Saves, 4.34 ERA
Key Metrics: K/9 8.7, BB/9 3.48, HR/9 1.11
Strengths:
Solid strikeout numbers with a K/9 of 8.7.
Weaknesses:
Elevated ERA of 4.34 shows bullpen struggles.
Toronto Blue Jays:
Basic Stats: 30W-21L, 49 Saves, 3.73 ERA
Key Metrics: K/9 9.69, BB/9 3.18, HR/9 1.15
Strengths:
Strong bullpen ERA of 3.73 and a significant number of saves (49) points towards a reliable bullpen.
Excellent strikeout ability with a K/9 of 9.69.
Weaknesses:
Slight susceptibility to home runs with a HR/9 of 1.15.
Summary and Projections
Starting Pitching: A close call, but Sale's strikeout prowess gives the Red Sox an edge, even though Bassitt boasts a better ERA.
Offense: The Blue Jays have a slight edge in overall offensive efficiency, but the Red Sox bring more power to the plate.
Bullpen: The Blue Jays' bullpen is more reliable, given the better ERA and higher number of saves.