Recent Play Details

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1 PM ET -- NFL

273 Las Vegas Raiders
274 Buffalo Bills

Play: 274 BUFFALO -8 -110

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters:
4% play at -9.5 or better
3% play at -10
2% play at -10.5

I really think this line would've been double digits if not for Week 1's results.  The Raiders sprung the upset in Denver, while the Bills lost in OT on Monday night to the Jets.

Let's examine that Bills loss.  First, they lost in OT on a punt return TD.  Buffalo actually out-gained the Jets by 25 total yards and nearly won the game despite a -3 turnover margin.  Josh Allen threw 3 INTs.  I'm expecting a huge bounce-back effort from Allen and the Bills against a much softer defense than the one they faced on Monday night.  Lay it.