Stuttgart have been excellent so far in the season (despite their 5-1 loss to RB Leipzig on the road), with their offense firing in all cylinders and with the duo of Silas/Guirassy linking up perfectly so far. Mainz with a very slow start in the season, looking nothing like last season, and they just lost to Werder Bremen by 4-0 prior to the break.
Stuttgart might lose a lot of steam when they play on the road, but they've been excellent against Mainz in recent years and they should be able to at least avoid the loss here. While the ML for Stuttgart is something to consider, we are going to take a more careful approach and take Stuttgart PK (or Draw no Bet, it's the same bet) here, which returns our investement in the event of a draw.
Play: Stuttgart PK
Odds at Time of Release: -105
Line Parameter: Playable to -115, no play if odds lower than -115
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