Event: (287) Miami Dolphins at (288) New England Patriots Sport/League: NFL Date/Time: September 17, 2023 8PM EDT Play: 2% – (287) Miami Dolphins at (288) New England Patriots Total Over 46.5 (-110) Play Rating: 2% Result: Loss
Miami -2.5 vs NE (46.5)
Wow did Tua and this Miami offense look good - like wow.
Wow did this Miami D look bad - like wow.
The Pats were the tale of 2 halfs - sucking crap in the 1st half and then moving the ball up and down the field in the second half.
The most interest stat of the Pats game was Jones threw the ball 54 times - yes 54 times and yes they were playing from behind, but that is still an amazing number. This is largely because they were playing from behind and frankly could not get their run game going - at all.
Will be interesting to see how Pats run in this game as the Chargers torched Miami on the ground to a tune of 252 yards.
The Dolphins D stunk it up last week, with LA putting up 433 yards of offense and just could not be stopped.
Here is what we know - this Miami team can score all day long but they can be scored on - this Pats team will likely come out running the ball to take advantage of Miami’s bad Run D, but that will set up some long bombs and we saw that Miami is susceptible to that as well.
Furthermore Miami struggled to run the ball against a D that couldn’t stop the run last year and will likely do worse on the ground this week - forcing the ball to be thrown.
If I had to bet the side here I would take Miami, but I don’t and we will instead look at the Over.
Anytime this Miami team has a total of 50 I will look to bet them over and now it is only 47.
I know this Pats team will play to the Under, but they won’t be able to stop Miami and we know they can come back an score themselves.