Recent Play Details

4% Tennessee (1:00 ET): The Titans were a 4% winner on this end in Week 1, covering as small road underdogs at New Orleans. This week, we find them at home and getting a similar number against the Chargers, who are also 0-1. Simply put, the Titans are desperate at this point. Going back to last season, they’ve lost eight consecutive games. But HC Mike Vrabel continues to cash tickets as an underdog. He’s 23-9 ATS when getting three points or more. In my preview for this game earlier in the week (on WagerTalk TV), I know I said to shop around for +3.5. But the fact this number is dropping to +2.5 is telling. 

It’s not like the Chargers aren’t similarly desperate after going down at home at the hands of Miami in Week 1. But that was a game where the Lightning Bolts ran for 200+ yards (just the 3rd time in the Justin Herbert era), scored 34 points and had zero turnovers. Previously, NFL home teams that did those three things were 165-1 SU all-time. It’s now 165-2 SU. So how do the Chargers really “improve” this week? You could argue they’re stepping down in class, but the defense giving up 8.2 yards per play last week is a massive concern. Especially when you consider they were last in the league against the run last year and now must deal with Derrick Henry. 

The Titans didn’t score a TD last week and will need a much better game from QB Ryan Tannehill here. Considering how the Chargers’ defense played last week, I do see Tannehill improving. Just not sure that the road team should be favored here. Going back to the Titans’ sense of desperation, they are on the road next week (at Cleveland) and then face Cincinnati. This is a team that badly needs a SU win. They only lost by three out in LA last season. RB Austin Ekeler could be out for the Chargers this time. Take the points. 4% Tennessee (Play to +1)