3% Colorado State (10:00 ET): Let’s try this again. Clearly, it was a poor decision (by me!) to take the points with Nebraska last week in Coach Prime’s home debut. That being said, it was a 0-0 game late in the first half and only 13-7 midway through the 3Q. Eventually, the Cornhuskers’ defense simply wilted when it became apparent that the ineptitude of their own QB Jeff Sims could not be overcome. Now Colorado moves from the “hunter” to the “hunted” though and will be asked to lay a big number for the first time under Coach Prime. No thanks.
After two weeks of silencing the doubters, Sanders’ team is a massive favorite here in a late night game with a much bigger contest (at Oregon!) on deck. (Not to mention they face USC the week after that!) I know that it was probably foolish for Colorado State HC Jay Norvell to come out and publicly criticize Sanders (for wearing a hat and sunglasses when talking to grownups!) but the Rams have had two weeks to prepare for this game after being embarrassed by another Pac 12 school (Washington St), at home, in the season opener.
So the spot definitely favors the underdog, who is now catching a huge number because everyone expects a “pissed off” Sanders to want to run up the score. But I still have my concerns about this Colorado defense, which allowed 42 to TCU in the season opener. Colorado State has made a change at QB, which I think is a positive. Also remember that getting blown out by Wazzu no longer looks as “bad” considering what happened last week (Wazzu beat Wisconsin). Coming into the season, I felt Norvell would have CSU vastly improved, just like what he did in his second second season at Nevada. Colorado has not been favored by more than two touchdowns against an FBS foe since 2018 (lost outright to Oregon State). Too many points. 3% Colorado State (Play to +21.5)