Recent Play Details

3% Georgia Tech (7:30 ET): This is all about fading #17 Ole Miss based on the situation as the Rebels are off a win over what was a ranked Tulane team and have Alabama on deck. The Lane Train probably did not deserve to cover last week in New Orleans as they actually trailed (17-10) going into halftime and the game was tied (17-17) after 3Q. It remained only a 7-point advantage going into the final two minutes when the Rebels kicked a 56-yard FG (after recovering an onside kick), then got a fumble return for TD to seal the 37-20 win and cover. 

It’s important to remember, however, that Tulane was without starting QB Michael Pratt. Ole Miss also suffered a key injury during the course of the game with leading WR Tre Harris going down with a knee. Considering the Rebels have Bama on deck, I would not expect Kiffin to rush Harris back onto the field. In general, Kiffin won’t want to show much offensively in this game. This is the year where Ole Miss feels like they can beat Bama and I wouldn’t be at all surprised if that’s the game on the minds of most of the players (and coaching staff). Note that Kiffin has historically struggled to cover as a favorite of 17+ points (7-12-1 ATS) including 3-9-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents. 

That’s good news for a Georgia Tech program that seems to be on the upswing under HC Brent Key, who coached alongside Kiffin at Bama once upon a time. The Yellow Jackets did lose their season opener to Louisville, but covered and could have won outright as 7-point dogs. They also finished with a slight edge in total yards (488-474) and held L’ville to 1 for 13 on third down. (Ole Miss was 1 for 13 on third down last week). It was a confidence building win over South Carolina State (48-13) last week and I think the road dog can hang. They’ll definitely be the more motivated team after losing 42-0 at home to Ole Miss last year (which was before the coaching change). 3% Georgia Tech (Play to +17)