KC will have Chris Jones back for this game and probably Travis Kelce, which immediately makes them better on both sides of the ball. With that being said, we'd be on KC even if these two were not playing. This is a correction spot. JAX won by 10 in Week One, and KC lost outright, but we actually downgraded JAX in our rankings and kept KC the same. Why? The Jaguars narrowly avoided disaster in Indianapolis in their opener, but a win is a win, and while they did not dominate as expected, they did enough to win down the stretch. The good news for Jaguars fans is that the Trevor Lawrence to Calvin Ridley duo seems to be as advertised - Ridley had eight catches on 11 targets for 101 yards and a touchdown. The two issues for the Jaguars were turnovers and third-down conversions. Jacksonville turned it over twice and went just 3-12 on third down, and these two factors made this game closer than it needed to be. The Chiefs lost on Week One due to drops and their own mistakes, the Lions did not truly beat them. JAX could be in for a long night if they do not convert on third down against the Chiefs. We will gladly take Mahomes as a short-road favorite in a game where he should be a bigger favorite.