Recent Play Details

4% (911) CHICAGO CUBS 1st 5 Innings -150

*Note Line Good to -160

We are backing the Cubs here for several reasons but the main reason is the starting pitching match up as it is a complete Mismatch and why we are going 1st 5 Inning Wager as I don’t want the Bullpens to be a factor. Justin Steele goes for Chicago. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 23 of his 27 starts this season. In his L3 starts he has allowed 1 run in 21 innings of work. His K/BB Ratio is 26-3 over those 21 innings telling me he had Full Command of all of his pitches. Brandon Pfaadt has made 9 home starts and his ERA is 7.30 with a WHIP of 1.72. In his L3 starts he has allowed 10 runs 13 innings of work. This is why we want 1st 5 Innings as Steele over Pfaadt is a complete mismatch. We also have Arizona returning from a Road Trip another spot that we like to fade the Home team. Arizona is slumping at the plate right now as well. In there L7 Games they have scored 3 runs or less 5 times. In 3 of those 5 they scored just 1 run. We also find the following:

KEY STAT: STEELE is 9-1 against the money line in night games this season

KEY STAT: CHICAGO CUBS are 7-1 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off this season

KEY STAT: CHICAGO CUBS are 9-3 against the money line in road games when playing on Friday this season

KEY STAT: ARIZONA is 1-16 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games this season

TAKE CHICAGO CUBS 1st 5 Innings as my 4% PITCHER MISMATCH PLAY