Recent Play Details

Offensive Breakdown:

Atlanta Dream:

• Points Per Game (PPG): The Dream are averaging 82.5 PPG, already above the bookmaker's total.
• EFG%: At 47.5%, the Dream have a decent shot efficiency.
• Beyond the Arc: The Dream are netting 6.4 three-pointers per game at a 33.6% accuracy rate.
• Pace: With a PACE of 82.25, they play a relatively fast-paced game, which can lead to more scoring opportunities.

Dallas Wings:

• Defensive Rating: The Wings have a DEF rating of 103.5, which indicates they can be scored upon.
• Opponent PPG: The Wings are allowing teams to score an average of 84.9 PPG.

Defensive Breakdown:

Dallas Wings:

• OPP FG%: Opponents have been shooting at a 44.4% clip against the Wings.
• OPP 3P%: The Wings are allowing teams to shoot threes at a 36.0% rate.

Summary and Projections:

The Atlanta Dream's current scoring average is already a point above the book's projection. When you factor in the Wings' slightly porous defense, it creates an environment where the Dream might just surpass their average. The Wings have been known to allow a higher PPG than what the Dream are currently scoring. Furthermore, the pace at which the Dream play might provide them with a few extra possessions, leading to more scoring opportunities.

Given these factors and the data provided, there's a substantial case to be made for the Dream to eclipse the 81.5 points set by the books. There is too much stake in the regular season matchups. A score of 85 or more for the Dream seems a realistic outcome for this matchup.