Recent Play Details

3% Toronto (7:07 ET): Thus far, the Blue Jays have been a complete “no-show” for this all-important series with the Rangers, which has seen them drop each of the first three games, including 10-0 last night. Kudos to the Rangers for overcoming the Max Scherzer news. They now lead the Jays by 1.5 games in a three-horse race (also involving Seattle) for the last two Wild Card spots in the American League. Texas has scored 10+ runs in 25 games this season and has a YTD run differential of +161 (2nd best in AL). 

But it's rare to see a team get swept at home in a four-game series, especially as one as good as Toronto. Over the L2 weeks alone, there have been four different teams in the spot Toronto finds itself in tonight and all have avoided the dreaded four-game sweep at home. I like that Kevin Gausman in on the mound here as the team has won each of his last three starts and in the last one, Gausman went eight innings, allowed just one run on two hits and had 10 strikeouts. Over the last two seasons, no pitcher in baseball has a better FIP. 

Though they have done it twice in this series, most of those games where the Rangers scored 10+ runs came earlier in the season. They are also just 4-8 as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Tonight's starter Nathan Eovaldi has gone just 3 ⅔ innings across two starts since returning from the IL and a 5.23 lifetime ERA against Toronto. This morning on First Pitch, I said one of the reasons I was willing to lay the juice for the full game here is because I don't want to take the Rangers' bullpen (4.88 ERA) out of the equation. The Blue Jays are 6-2 this season after being shutout the previous game. I look for them to avoid the sweep. 3% Toronto (Play to -165).