Recent Play Details

3% #103 Minnesota Vikings (+6.5) over Philadelphia Eagles — 

I think BOTH of these teams were on the wrong side of the result last week and we could see things turn around tonight. 

Minnesota threw for 328 yards, had one of the more impressive rush defenses, and have one of the bigger edge’s this week in my power rankings. All this, despite losing their FIRST one-score game since 2021 against Baker Mayfield and the Bucs. 

Meanwhile, Philadelphia had 2 forced TO’s in the first 2 possessions, including a pick-6 by Darius Slay. They managed to get the win despite getting outscored 20-9 in the final 3 quarters after a 16-0 lead. 

The only reason this play isn’t higher for me is a few of the injury concerns for the Minnesota Vikings, but the reason it is STILL a play is the injury concerns for the Philadelphia Eagles. When you take into account solely what happened last week, and the injury report for this week, than the Philadelphia Eagles run-game is in SEVERE trouble. 

Prior to last week we would have said their rush game was set with Kenneth Gainwell, Byron Scott and DeAndre Swift … but just 4 days later … Kenneth Gainwell has been ruled out for this game and Swift & Scott combined for just 2 RUSH ATTEMPTS against the Patriots. 

I don’t see the Eagles getting out to a big lead early in this one, especially in the same fashion that they did last week. Plus, without James Bradberry and Reed Blakenship, their 2ndary could have some issues against Justin Jefferson, Kirk Cousins and company. 

Finally, there are TWO big trends that stood out to me, that are Week 2 specific: 

• Teams on the road, after losing as a FAV in week 1 … 
  • 19-11-1 ATS (63.3%) … s/ 2013
• Teams as a single-digit DOG, after losing as a FAV in week 1 … 
  • 40-22-2 ATS (64.5%)

This is a lot of points to be laying in my opinion and I am looking at the dog. Especially after last weeks result…