3% Take Philadelphia (#104)
Yes, Minnesota went 13-4 last year, but it comes with a pair of asterisks. First, they went a truly unsustainable 11-0 in one score games; every bit as lucky as they were good. Second, when the Vikings lost, they got destroyed, losing by 17, 37, 11 and 24 points in those four regular season losses; the loss by 17 coming right here in Philadelphia. The betting markets expected significant regression, with Minnesota lined as an 8.5 win team coming into the season – ample question marks on both sides of the football. Those questions certainly weren’t answered positively in Sunday’s turnover filled home loss to Tampa, and the injury to starting center Garrett Bradbury to injury is an absolute disaster against the stout Eagles defense front. Coming off a sluggish showing in their opener against the Patriots, look for Philly to be a notch or two sharper here; a game they should win by a TD or more. Take the Eagles.
Line Parameter: 3% at -6.5 or lower, 2% at -7 or higher