Recent Play Details

Check out my YouTube channel at https://wt.buzz/dbtv

8:15 PM ET -- NFL

103 Minnesota Vikings
104 Philadelphia Eagles

Play: 1H OVER 24.5 -105

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at 25 or better
2% play at 25.5

I think we're gonna see a completely different Eagles team tonight.  In the Foxboro rain last Sunday, the Eagles adopted a slow-paced, run-heavy offensive approach.  In contrast, last season they were the fastest-paced team with a pass-heavy attack.

The Vikings blitzed a lot last Sunday against the Buccaneers, but were very ineffective against a weak Tampa Bay offensive line.  So I don't see the Vikings getting much pressure on Jalen Hurts, and a non-pressured Hurts is a dangerous Hurts.

In that Bucs/Vikes game, Bucs QB Baker Mayfield apparently cracked the code on Minnesota's defensive signals.  Looking at Mayfield's second-half numbers in that game as compared to his first-half numbers only supports this report, which came out late Tuesday night.  If Mayfield figured it out, then the Eagles will figure it out if they didn't already.  And I doubt Minnesota had enough time to install all new signals in just a couple days.  If they did, you can expect some miscommunication on the field, which could lead to some big plays for Philly.

Sounds like I'm backing the Eagles tonight, but I'm not.  The Eagles have some injury concerns on defense, particularly in the secondary.  Minnesota could've scored A LOT more points last Sunday, but repeatedly shot themselves in the foot.  Kirk Cousins turned the ball over twice when the Vikings were in scoring range.

I'm expecting plenty of points in this one.  I hate betting primetime overs, and I can see the Eagles getting a big lead and then playing keep-away and bleeding the clock.  So I prefer the 1H Over instead of full-game.