Recent Play Details

3% Take Akron (#193)

Kentucky cashed a winning bet for their backers in Week 1 thanks to head coach Mark Stoops NOT taking a knee up 37-14 with seconds to play. Kentucky handed the ball off one last time, which ended up being a 30 yard touchdown scamper, getting the Wildcats the pointspread cover with :06 seconds left on the clock.

But that’s the exception, not the rule.  The Wildcats are not an ‘explosive offense’ type of team to lay more than three touchdowns with – they scored more than 31 points only once last year and only 28 last week against FCS Eastern Kentucky.  They were -26 at home to Northern Illinois last year; a game they won 31-23, never sniffing a pointspread cover.  In 2021, they were -32 in a similar spot at home against Chattanooga, a game they won 28-23, never sniffing a pointspread cover.  The Wildcats have their SEC opener next week; a ‘survive and advance’ non-conference affair this week that’s not about winning by margin.

Zips second year head coach Joe Moorhead went 2-10 in his debut season; no surprise considering their 3-27 record in the previous three seasons – it’s a major rebuilding job.  That said, Akron got better and better as the season progressed last year; 5-1 ATS down the stretch.  This year’s team is a good notch or two better on both sides of the ball, with Moorhead’s offense in place and a modest talent infusion in the offseason.  They notched a confidence inducing ‘W’ last week; an improving, value laden team worth backing in this inflated pointspread range on Saturday.  Too many points!  Take Akron.

Line Parameter: 3% at +24 or higher, 2% at +23.5 or lower