3% Teaser (6-pt) NY Jets & Under (8:15 ET): Aaron Rodgers gets to make his Jets’ regular season debut under the bright lights of MNF. He faces a Bills team that I have plenty of respect for. But I don’t see Rodgers and the Jets getting blown out here. Not at home. I know road teams had the SU edge on Sunday (and Thursday) but half of the road wins we’ve seen thus far (5 of 10) have been by 5 pts or less. Since I missed the best of the number with the total (want to play Under), let’s just go ahead and tease the Jets and Under up six points and make that the play for MNF.
It’s admittedly been a poor run in the AFC East for the Jets, who are 5-25 SU and 9-21 ATS in their L30 division games. But they played the Bills tough in the two meetings last year, covering both and winning here at home outright. In those two games, Bills’ QB Josh Allen struggled, completing just 55% of his pass attempts with only one TD pass. Buffalo scored just 37 points total (17 and 20) in the two games. No one ever doubted this Jets defense last year even as they finished last in the division with a 7-10 SU record. The defense was 4th in both scoring and yards allowed. Offensive line has always been the question mark for this Bills team and they very well could struggle again up front in this one.
Now enter Rodgers, who was 7-1 ATS as a home dog with the Packers and has won nine straight MNF games. The Jets are hoping Rodgers is enough to get them over the hump here and he very well might be. Even with less than stellar QB play LY, the Jets had seven more first downs than the Bills in the two head to head meetings. The Bills’ defense lost LB Tremaine Edwards and Von Miller is also out with injury. Even still, seeing as these teams are combined for just 37 and 32 points last year, I don’t see THAT big of an increase in overall scoring. 3% Teaser (6-pt) NY Jets & Under (Need +7.5 or better on Jets)