Recent Play Details

$100 bet wins $90

We are playing 5.5 units to win 5.

Play up to -135 then lower to 4%.

Josefine Knutsson -455 v MArnic Mann 

I was confused when Knutsson didn’t get a UFC contract on Contender Series, but the MMA Gods were looking out for her as the UFC quickly put her in a fight where she was an underdog to Iasmin Lucindo, and then Lucindo pulled out so she becomes a big favorite over Marnic Mann, and I think she easily wins this fight.  She is a kickboxer-style fighter with great cardio, and she should have her way on the feet with Mann who is not a strong fighter.  She got knocked out on Contender Series last season by Bruna Brasil, and has won the rest of her fights against way lesser competition.  Her last fight was in the LFA where she lost the first round and came back to win the next two rounds in one of the most boring fights you’ll ever see as Mann leaned on her opponent against the cage for rounds two and three, and that opponent is 7-6.  Knutsson is going to use her crisp kicks and strikes against Mann, and Mann does not have strikes or counters that will worry Knutsson.  Mann’s style isn’t going to work against Knutsson who has great movement, and she will be able to do way more damage than Mann will be able to give out.  Knutsson isn’t a finisher, but she’ll have the chance as she piles up damage against Mann.  

Roman Kopylov -305 v Josh Fremd

I’m a Kopylov fan, and I am stunned the fight is only -305.  Fremd has won two fights in a row, but against the bottom-of-the-barrel fighters in Jamie Pickett and Sedriques Dumas.  Before that, he lost to Tresean Gore and Anthony Hernandez, and I don’t think he has the standup game to compete with Kopylov.  Kopylov is getting better and better every fight, and he’s knocked out his last three opponents.  Fremd will be trying to get the fight to the ground, but Kopylov can stuff takedowns and he can handle himself on the ground so I don’t see Fremd’s big advantage there.  On the feet, it’s Kopylov with the huge advantage and I think he lands enough damage early to take away Fremd’s ability to shoot, and Kopylov gets the finish or a dominant win by decision.

Raul Rosas Jr -555 v Terrance Mitchell +405

This is a great spot for Rosas to rebound after suffering his first loss in his last time out.  Rosas got too excited in the first round and gassed himself trying to get the finish, and had no energy in rounds two and three and lost by decision.  He won’t make that mistake again, and his grappling and submissions should be too much for Terrance Mitchell.  Mitchell comes from the Alaskan fight scene which is notorious for shady fights, and in Mitchell’s UFC debut, he got ground and pounded out in the first round.  He doesn’t have good cardio or good striking, and his ground game isn’t very good either.  Rosas will definitely try and get this to the ground quickly, and once on the ground, he’ll dominate.  Rosas is young and made a big mistake in his last fight, but he and his team will rectify that, and I would expect a much more patient performance from him.  This should be a showcase fight for him to get back on the winning track with his takedowns and grappling.