Recent Play Details

Atlanta vs Inter Miami
Saturday, September 16th, 5pm ET

-GET THIS LINE ASAP-     Inter Miami +0.5 (-121 at Pinnacle)

Pinnacle (and several other books) have odds for the MLS matches next weekend and seeing plus goals on Inter Miami is really something rare. Maybe the line is affected by the absence of Messi in the World Cup Qualifiers with Argentina, but he “felt a little something” in the match against Ecuador and was subbed off, but the recent reports say that it is just fatigue related(after playing 12 matches in L48 days). Argentina play in Bolivia next, which is always a tough trip for anyone to make due to the altitude, and the coach has already said that he will rotate the squad, and he is considering releasing Messi to travel back to Miami to get some rest. If that's the case, Messi will be back in time to rest and prepare for the weekend match against Atlanta. 

Even without Messi, Inter Miami will have all players back from international duty and can at least avoid the loss here. Betting on Inter Miami +0.5 goal gets us paid in the Draw (it is essentially Inter Miami Double Chance), and this is one of the most value bets of the season right there. 

Take Inter Miami +0.5 (-121 Pinnacle). This line will move considerably come game time, and is still playable as 5% at +0.25. 
 

Play: Inter Miami +0.5

Odds at Time of Release: -121

Line Parameter: Playable to -130, playable if line moves to +0.25, playable if line moves to PK 

Update: Line moved significantly overnight, now you can find Miami +0.25 (-125 at Pinnacle) and Miami PK (+106). These are BOTH playable, as we do expect Inter Miami to not lose. Those of you that got the initial +0.5 line are VERY lucky and moved fast. If you didn't get the +0.5 go ahead and take the +0.25 and even the PK (but with a chance of a push). 

Update 2: It is now Tuesday and the line is still moving, now Miami +0.25 at -135 Pinnacle / -140 Draftkings which is AS LOW AS WE GO to get that quarter goal. If you want higher odds take Miami PK (Draw no Bet), but with a chance of a Push at the draw. Miami are not losing. 

Messi wasn't even in the squad that went to Bolivia for the Qualifiers (just like we predicted), and the public are starting to notice. Messi will get some rest and will be back in action on Saturday, so there is a very good chance they win outright. 

Update 3 (Saturday, 7am ET): Lionel Messi is NOT going to play in this match. This is not ideal, but the bets have been placed days ago (when we got the +0.5 on Inter Miami), and there is little we can do now. Even without Messi, Inter Miami have the quality to at least avoid the loss here. The line moved AGAIN and it is now back to +0.25 (-105) for Inter Miami which is still playable, as we do expect Miami to at least get a Draw here.