Recent Play Details

Noon ET -- College Football

317 Nebraska
318 Colorado

Play: 317 NEBRASKA +2.5 -105

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at +2 or better
2% play at +1 or +1.5

Fool me once, Coach Sanders, shame on you.  Fool me twice and it's definitely shame on me.  Tip of the cap to Sanders and his Colorado team that went into TCU as about a 3-TD underdog and shocked the Horned Frogs last weekend.  It was my only loss out of 4 college football bets last weekend.

Now, Sanders has to prevent those kids from suffering a letdown in this one.  Will they be a bit flat?  It's possible.  Will they be overconfident after knocking off the program that lost last season's CFP Championship game?  That's possible, too.  But I have a feeling Sanders will have his boys ready to go.

Nebraska comes into this one off a tough 13-10 loss at Minnesota.  The 'Huskers covered the +7.5, and actually led that game 7-3 with under 3 minutes to play.  A 47-yard field goal at the gun did them in.  Nebraska out-gained the Gophers by 44 total yards, but a -3 turnover margin ruined their day.  That being said, to be a TD+ underdog on the road, be -3 in turnovers, and still have a chance to win the game tells me that Colorado better not sleep on Matt Rhule's Huskers. And that Minnesota game was on Thursday, which gives them two more days than Colorado to recover and prepare for this game.

Nebraska also has an advantage that TCU didn't have, and that's that they have game film on this Colorado team.

So I'm basically buying low on Nebraska off its loss (although they exceeded the expectations of everyone outside of that program), and I'm selling high on Colorado off that huge upset at TCU in Sanders' Colorado debut.  This just feels to me like one of those games where everybody is gonna overreact to what these two teams did last week.  Maybe Sanders gets me again, but I'm willing to bet he doesn't.